Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.611001 1.836793 2.082407 2.369376 2.695444 3.054410 3.479600
2025-10-26 1.245216 1.548591 1.907499 2.363251 2.926556 3.600075 4.466900
2025-11-02 1.045257 1.380693 1.801305 2.367122 3.108361 4.046605 5.325304
2025-11-09 0.884443 1.227758 1.679366 2.316401 3.191796 4.352896 6.011413
2025-11-16 0.783374 1.135405 1.618132 2.327685 3.343976 4.747652 6.835845
2025-11-23 0.709325 1.068640 1.580054 2.360018 3.519357 5.179633 7.740948
2025-11-30 0.635852 0.992570 1.517928 2.346709 3.621160 5.507752 8.516563
2025-12-07 0.566052 0.913284 1.441172 2.300526 3.664331 5.746212 9.170445
2025-12-14 0.502355 0.836059 1.358734 2.235075 3.667593 5.918279 9.728676
2025-12-21 0.455978 0.781397 1.305613 2.209297 3.728210 6.180175 10.445643
2025-12-28 0.435450 0.767060 1.315558 2.286147 3.960787 6.733857 11.682638
2026-01-04 0.399985 0.723528 1.272476 2.268611 4.031151 7.022087 12.492199
2026-01-11 0.377705 0.704423 1.275237 2.341480 4.283497 7.673006 14.049261
2026-01-18 0.344040 0.661928 1.234134 2.334956 4.399906 8.108529 15.287842
2026-01-25 0.316109 0.626517 1.201374 2.338799 4.533111 8.582771 16.638839
2026-02-01 0.284600 0.580481 1.143683 2.288678 4.558180 8.857915 17.639067
2026-02-08 0.264074 0.553605 1.119382 2.299828 4.700893 9.365275 19.133021
2026-02-15 0.247961 0.533755 1.106530 2.331778 4.886750 9.971103 20.878069
2026-02-22 0.228813 0.505386 1.073491 2.318627 4.978654 10.397436 22.297300
2026-03-01 0.208558 0.472361 1.027387 2.272992 4.997457 10.675396 23.431817
2026-03-08 0.188734 0.438065 0.975056 2.208317 4.968429 10.849712 24.359484
2026-03-15 0.174167 0.413958 0.942224 2.182844 5.021760 11.202085 25.706515
2026-03-22 0.168749 0.410298 0.954097 2.258783 5.308400 12.084970 28.318145